Bioclimatic assessment of East Kazakhstan in relation to climate change

Abstract

Bioclimate assessment of East Kazakhstan in relation to climate change

In recent years, climate warming has been observed not only globally, but also on the territory of Kazakhstan. In this regard, much attention is paid to the issues of global climate change and the effects of weather phenomena on human life and health. One of the important information is the impact of bioclimatic assessment and weather changes on human life and health.

East Kazakhstan is one of the main sources of industrial zones, which has a significant place in our country. Agriculture is well-developed in the region, especially animal husbandry, non-ferrous metallurgy industries and other types of farming, are of great importance in our economy. The main activity which determines the work outdoors is in the winter. And the climate of the region is characterized by hot summers and severe winters with low temperatures and strong winds. In this regard, bioclimatic assessment and analysis of the East Kazakhstan region are among topical issues. This article reviews the bioclimatic assessment of East Kazakhstan and analyzed the dynamics of climate change.

The bioclimatic assessment is based on the Canadian Model equivalent temperature index (WCET), which is determined by taking into account the complex effect of temperature and wind on humans. This indicator estimates the warmth of the person at a certain temperature. Initial data were obtained from six meteorological stations of East Kazakhstan.

According to the results, the minimum value of the WCET index in the cold season corresponds to the levels — “very cold”, in some years — “the threat of frostbite”. At the same time, in the last decade, due to climate change, the likelihood of minimum WCET was about above 2-3%, it means that cold winters were observed.

Information on bioclimatic assessment can be used by public awareness systems, emergency services and when they are going to organize outdoor activities.

Keywords: bioclimate, East Kazakhstan, temperature, wind, equivalent temperature.