Факторы ускоренного сокращения ледников бассейна реки Каратал
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Ключевые слова:
сокращение ледника, бассейн реки Каратал, топографические факторы, изменение климатаАннотация
Ледники являются одними из лучших в мире регистраторов, и они первыми реагируют на изменение климата природного и антропогенного характера, также показывает перспективу современных климатических и экологических изменений во времени. Согласно нашим предыдущим результатам, ледники бассейна реки Каратал сокращается быстрее, нежели ледники других водосборов гор Центральной Азии, в том числе Тянь-Шаня, Алтая и Памира. В данном исследовании рассмотрены и обсуждены возможные факторы резкого сокращения ледников бассейна реки Каратал и их роли в колебанийледника.Мы пришли к выводу, что рассматриваемый оледененный бассейн расположен в самых неблагоприятных условиях для оледенения, и в результате показали более высокую скорость сокращения, чем другие оледененные регионы Центральной Азии с 1956 по 2012 год.
Библиографические ссылки
1 1. IPCC Summary for policymakers (2007) In: Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M, Chen Z, Marquis M, Averyt KB, Tignor M, Miller HL (Eds.), Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis: Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA
2 2. Hagg W, Mayer C, Lambrecht A, Kriegel D, Azizov E (2010) Glacier changes in the Big Naryn basin, Central Tian Shan. Glob. Planet. Change 110:40-50
3 3. Bolch T (2007) Climate change and glacier retreat in northern Tien Shan (Kazakhstan/Kyrgyzstan) using remote sensing data. Glob. Planet. Change 56:1-12
4 4. Aizen VB, Kuzmichenok, VA, Surazakov AB, Aizen EM (2007) Glacier changes in the Tien Shan as determined from topographic and remotely sensed data. Glob. Planet. Change 56:328-340
5 5. Li B, Zhu A, Zhang Y, Pei T, Qin C, Zhou C (2007) Glacier change over the past four decades in the middle Chinese Tien Shan. J. Glaciol. 52:425-432
6 6. Narama C, Kääb A, Duishonakunov M, Abdrakhmatov K (2010) Spatial variability of recent glacier area changes in the Tien Shan Mountains, Central Asia, using Corona (1970), Landsat (2000), and ALOS (2007) satellite data. Glob. Planet. Change71:42-54
7 7. Unger-Shayesteh K, Vorogushyn S, Farinotti D, Gafurov A, Düthmann D, Mandychev A, Merz B (2013) What do we know about past changes in the water cycle of Central Asian headwaters? A review. Glob. Planet. Change, 110:4-25
8 8. Sorg A, Bolch T, Stoffel M, Solomina O, Beniston M (2012) Climate change impacts on glaciers and runoff in Tien Shan (Central Asia). Nature. Clim. Change 2:725-731
9 9. Kutuzov S, Shahgedanova M (2009) Glacier retreat and climatic variability in the eastern Terskey-Alatoo, inner Tien Shan between the middle of the 19th century and beginning of the 21st century. Glob. Planet. Change, 69:59-70
10 10. Kriegel D, Mayer C, Hagg W, Vorogushyn S, Duethmann D, Gafurov A, Farinotti D (2013) Changes in glacierisation, climate and runoff in the second half of the 20th century in the Naryn basin, Central Asia. Glob. Planet. Change 110:51-61
11 11. Wang P, Li Z, Wang F, Edwards R (2014) Glacier shrinkage in the Ebinur lake basin, Tien Shan, China,during the past 40 years. J. Glaciol. 60 (220):245-254
12 12. Kaldybayev A, Yaning Chen Y, Vilesov E (2016) Glacier change in the Karatal river basin, Zhetysu (Dzhungar) Alatau, Kazakhstan. Annals of Glaciology, 57(71). doi:10.3189/2016AoG71A005
13 13. Ageta Y, Kadota T (1992) Predictions of changes of glacier mass balance in the Nepal Himalaya and Tibetan Plateau: a case study of air temperature increase for three glaciers. Ann. Glaciol.16:89-94
14 14. Fujita K, Ageta Y (2000) Effect of summer accumulation on glacier mass balance on the Tibetan Plateau revealed by mass balance model. J. Glaciol.46(153):244-252
15 15. Aizen VB, Kuzmichenok VA, Surazakov AB, Aizen EM (2006) Glacier changes in the central and northern Tien Shan during the last 140 years based on surface and remote-sensing data. Ann. Glaciol. 43:202-213
16 16. Niederer P, Bilenko V, Ershove N, Hurni H, Yerokhin S, Maselli D (2008) Tracing glacier wastage in the Northern Tien Shan (Kyrgyzstan/Central Asia) over the last 40 years. Climatic Change 86:227-234
17 17. Pieczonka T, Bolch T (2015) Region-wide glacier mass budgets and area changes for the Central Tien Shan between 1975 and 1999 using Hexagon KH-9 imagery. Global Planet. Change 128:1-13
18 18. Narama C, Shimamura Y, Nakayama D, Abdrakhmatov K (2006) Recent changes of glacier coverage in the western Terskey-Alatoo range, Kyrgyz Republic, using Corona and Landsat. Ann. Glaciol. 43:223–229
19 19. Kokarev AL, Shesterova IN (2014) Sovremennye izmeneiya gornyh lednikov na uyzhnom sklone Dzhungarskogo Alatau [Modern change of mountain glaciers on the southern slope of the Dzhungar Alatau]. Led i Sneg. 128:54-62
20 20. Dolgushin LD., Osipova GB. Ledniki, M: Mysl.– 1989.– 447 p. (in Russian)
21 21. Li Z, Zhao Z, Edwards R, Wang W, Zhou P (2011) Characteristics of individual aerosol particles over Ürümqi Glacier No. 1 in eastern Tianshan, central Asia, China. Atmosph. Res. 99:57-66
22 22. Aizen V, Aizen E, Melack J, Martma T (1997) Isotopic measurements of precipitation on central Asian glaciers (Southeastern Tibet, northern Himalayas, central Tien Shan). J. Geophys. Res.101(4):9185-9198
23 23. Vandenberghe J, Renssen H, Huissteden K, Nugteren G, Konert M, Lu H, Dodonov A, Buylaert JP (2006) Penetration of Atlantic westerly winds into Central and East Asia. Quatern. Sc. Reviews 25:2380-2389
24 24. Issanova G, Jilili A, Semenov O (2014) Deflation processes and their role in desertification of the southern Pre-Balkhash deserts. Arab. J. Geos., 7(11):4513-4521
25 25. IPCC. 2013. Climate Change (2013): The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker TF, Qin D, Plattner G-K, Tignor M, Allen SK, Boschung J, Nauels A, Xia Y, Bex V and Midgley PM (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 1535
26 26. Bahr DB, Pfeffer WT, Sassolas C, Meier MF (1998) Response time of glaciers as a function of size and mass balance. 1. Theory. J. Geophys. Res.103(B5):9777-9782
27 27. Ye B, Ding Y, Liu C (2001) Response of valley glaciers in various sizes and their runoff to climate change. J. Glaciol. Geocryol. 23(2):103-110
28 28. Granshaw FD, Fountain AG (2006) Glacier change (1958-1998) in the North Cascades National Park Complex, Washington, USA. J. Glaciol. 52(177):251-256
29 29. Bolch T, Marchenko SS (2009) Significance of glaciers, rockglaciers and ice rich permafrost in the Northern Tien Shan as water towers under climate change conditions. In: Braun L, Hagg W, Severskiy I, Young G. (Eds.), Assessment of Snow, Glacier and Water Resources in Asia, IHP/HWRP Berichte 8:132-144
30 30. Shahgedanova M, Nosenko G, Khromova T, Muraveyev A (2010) Glacier shrinkage and climatic change in the Russian Altai from the mid-20th century: an assessment using remote sensing and PRECIS regional climate model. J. Geophys. Res.115, D16107 (doi: 10.1029/2009JD012976)
2 2. Hagg W, Mayer C, Lambrecht A, Kriegel D, Azizov E (2010) Glacier changes in the Big Naryn basin, Central Tian Shan. Glob. Planet. Change 110:40-50
3 3. Bolch T (2007) Climate change and glacier retreat in northern Tien Shan (Kazakhstan/Kyrgyzstan) using remote sensing data. Glob. Planet. Change 56:1-12
4 4. Aizen VB, Kuzmichenok, VA, Surazakov AB, Aizen EM (2007) Glacier changes in the Tien Shan as determined from topographic and remotely sensed data. Glob. Planet. Change 56:328-340
5 5. Li B, Zhu A, Zhang Y, Pei T, Qin C, Zhou C (2007) Glacier change over the past four decades in the middle Chinese Tien Shan. J. Glaciol. 52:425-432
6 6. Narama C, Kääb A, Duishonakunov M, Abdrakhmatov K (2010) Spatial variability of recent glacier area changes in the Tien Shan Mountains, Central Asia, using Corona (1970), Landsat (2000), and ALOS (2007) satellite data. Glob. Planet. Change71:42-54
7 7. Unger-Shayesteh K, Vorogushyn S, Farinotti D, Gafurov A, Düthmann D, Mandychev A, Merz B (2013) What do we know about past changes in the water cycle of Central Asian headwaters? A review. Glob. Planet. Change, 110:4-25
8 8. Sorg A, Bolch T, Stoffel M, Solomina O, Beniston M (2012) Climate change impacts on glaciers and runoff in Tien Shan (Central Asia). Nature. Clim. Change 2:725-731
9 9. Kutuzov S, Shahgedanova M (2009) Glacier retreat and climatic variability in the eastern Terskey-Alatoo, inner Tien Shan between the middle of the 19th century and beginning of the 21st century. Glob. Planet. Change, 69:59-70
10 10. Kriegel D, Mayer C, Hagg W, Vorogushyn S, Duethmann D, Gafurov A, Farinotti D (2013) Changes in glacierisation, climate and runoff in the second half of the 20th century in the Naryn basin, Central Asia. Glob. Planet. Change 110:51-61
11 11. Wang P, Li Z, Wang F, Edwards R (2014) Glacier shrinkage in the Ebinur lake basin, Tien Shan, China,during the past 40 years. J. Glaciol. 60 (220):245-254
12 12. Kaldybayev A, Yaning Chen Y, Vilesov E (2016) Glacier change in the Karatal river basin, Zhetysu (Dzhungar) Alatau, Kazakhstan. Annals of Glaciology, 57(71). doi:10.3189/2016AoG71A005
13 13. Ageta Y, Kadota T (1992) Predictions of changes of glacier mass balance in the Nepal Himalaya and Tibetan Plateau: a case study of air temperature increase for three glaciers. Ann. Glaciol.16:89-94
14 14. Fujita K, Ageta Y (2000) Effect of summer accumulation on glacier mass balance on the Tibetan Plateau revealed by mass balance model. J. Glaciol.46(153):244-252
15 15. Aizen VB, Kuzmichenok VA, Surazakov AB, Aizen EM (2006) Glacier changes in the central and northern Tien Shan during the last 140 years based on surface and remote-sensing data. Ann. Glaciol. 43:202-213
16 16. Niederer P, Bilenko V, Ershove N, Hurni H, Yerokhin S, Maselli D (2008) Tracing glacier wastage in the Northern Tien Shan (Kyrgyzstan/Central Asia) over the last 40 years. Climatic Change 86:227-234
17 17. Pieczonka T, Bolch T (2015) Region-wide glacier mass budgets and area changes for the Central Tien Shan between 1975 and 1999 using Hexagon KH-9 imagery. Global Planet. Change 128:1-13
18 18. Narama C, Shimamura Y, Nakayama D, Abdrakhmatov K (2006) Recent changes of glacier coverage in the western Terskey-Alatoo range, Kyrgyz Republic, using Corona and Landsat. Ann. Glaciol. 43:223–229
19 19. Kokarev AL, Shesterova IN (2014) Sovremennye izmeneiya gornyh lednikov na uyzhnom sklone Dzhungarskogo Alatau [Modern change of mountain glaciers on the southern slope of the Dzhungar Alatau]. Led i Sneg. 128:54-62
20 20. Dolgushin LD., Osipova GB. Ledniki, M: Mysl.– 1989.– 447 p. (in Russian)
21 21. Li Z, Zhao Z, Edwards R, Wang W, Zhou P (2011) Characteristics of individual aerosol particles over Ürümqi Glacier No. 1 in eastern Tianshan, central Asia, China. Atmosph. Res. 99:57-66
22 22. Aizen V, Aizen E, Melack J, Martma T (1997) Isotopic measurements of precipitation on central Asian glaciers (Southeastern Tibet, northern Himalayas, central Tien Shan). J. Geophys. Res.101(4):9185-9198
23 23. Vandenberghe J, Renssen H, Huissteden K, Nugteren G, Konert M, Lu H, Dodonov A, Buylaert JP (2006) Penetration of Atlantic westerly winds into Central and East Asia. Quatern. Sc. Reviews 25:2380-2389
24 24. Issanova G, Jilili A, Semenov O (2014) Deflation processes and their role in desertification of the southern Pre-Balkhash deserts. Arab. J. Geos., 7(11):4513-4521
25 25. IPCC. 2013. Climate Change (2013): The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker TF, Qin D, Plattner G-K, Tignor M, Allen SK, Boschung J, Nauels A, Xia Y, Bex V and Midgley PM (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 1535
26 26. Bahr DB, Pfeffer WT, Sassolas C, Meier MF (1998) Response time of glaciers as a function of size and mass balance. 1. Theory. J. Geophys. Res.103(B5):9777-9782
27 27. Ye B, Ding Y, Liu C (2001) Response of valley glaciers in various sizes and their runoff to climate change. J. Glaciol. Geocryol. 23(2):103-110
28 28. Granshaw FD, Fountain AG (2006) Glacier change (1958-1998) in the North Cascades National Park Complex, Washington, USA. J. Glaciol. 52(177):251-256
29 29. Bolch T, Marchenko SS (2009) Significance of glaciers, rockglaciers and ice rich permafrost in the Northern Tien Shan as water towers under climate change conditions. In: Braun L, Hagg W, Severskiy I, Young G. (Eds.), Assessment of Snow, Glacier and Water Resources in Asia, IHP/HWRP Berichte 8:132-144
30 30. Shahgedanova M, Nosenko G, Khromova T, Muraveyev A (2010) Glacier shrinkage and climatic change in the Russian Altai from the mid-20th century: an assessment using remote sensing and PRECIS regional climate model. J. Geophys. Res.115, D16107 (doi: 10.1029/2009JD012976)
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Как цитировать
Kaldybayev, A. A., Vilesov, E. N., & Issanova, G. T. (2016). Факторы ускоренного сокращения ледников бассейна реки Каратал. Вестник КазНУ. Серия географическая, 41(2). извлечено от https://bulletin-geography.kaznu.kz/index.php/1-geo/article/view/235
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Геодезия и картография
